Heterogeneous Shocks in the Covid-19 Pandemic: Panel Evidence from Italian Firms

A new GLO Discussion Paper document stronger shocks for truly innovative companies and effects on long-run growth operating through the disruption of preexisting R&D plans.

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GLO Discussion Paper No. 649, 2020

Heterogeneous Shocks in the Covid-19 Pandemic: Panel Evidence from Italian FirmsDownload PDF
by
Brancati, Emanuele & Brancati, Raffaele

GLO Fellow Emanuele Brancati

Author Abstract: This paper contributes to the policy discussion on Covid-19 by presenting real-time evidence on the magnitude of the shock for Italian firms. We take advantage of unique panel data on 7,800 companies between January 2020 (right before the pandemic) and March of the same year (in the midst of lockdown policies). We then exploit the revision in expectation within this short time window to capture the impact of firms’ idiosyncratic shock. Our analysis shows disproportionate effects for internationalized companies and provide some evidence on supply chain contagion. We also document stronger shocks for truly innovative companies and effects on long-run growth operating through the disruption of preexisting R&D plans.

More from the GLO Coronavirus Cluster

GLO Discussion Papers are research and policy papers of the GLO Network which are widely circulated to encourage discussion. Provided in cooperation with EconStor, a service of the ZBW – Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, GLO Discussion Papers are among others listed in RePEc (see IDEAS,  EconPapers)Complete list of all GLO DPs – downloadable for free.

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